Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has surged past critical resistance levels, marking a strong bullish breakout. On July 11, 2025, ETH/USD traded at $2,968.06, up 0.54% intraday, continuing its recent momentum. Supported by both daily and monthly chart formations, Ethereum appears poised to retest the $3,000–$3,200 zone in the short term, with bulls now eyeing the broader $4,000 level.
This rally is significant, as it breaks a two-month range and confirms a larger reversal from its multi-month downtrend.
📈 Technical Chart Analysis (Daily & Monthly)
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Insights (1D timeframe)
🔷 Rectangle Range Breakout
- ETH had been consolidating between $2,400 (support) and $2,700 (resistance) since mid-May.
- A sharp upside breakout above the $2,700 mark, with strong bullish candles and higher volume, confirms range expansion and trend reversal.
🔵 Bollinger Band Surge
- Price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band (BB), a typical sign of bullish momentum with increased volatility.
- The mid-BB line (20 SMA) near $2,539.43 will now act as dynamic support.
🔺 Short-Term Target
- Immediate resistance lies around $3,000–$3,100.
- If momentum sustains, ETH could challenge the psychological resistance of $3,200+.
🗓️ 2. Monthly Chart Analysis (1M timeframe)
🔷 Bullish Engulfing Setup
- After months of consolidation and a steep drop early in 2025, Ethereum’s current monthly candle shows a bullish engulfing pattern, completely reversing previous losses.
🔵 Key Resistance Zone
- Monthly Bollinger midpoint near $2,839.91 has been reclaimed.
- Overhead resistance is seen at the $4,032–$4,056 level, which aligns with the upper BB and previous 2022-23 range highs.
🔺 Medium-Term Outlook
- If bulls hold the $2,800–$2,900 breakout zone, a move toward $3,600–$4,000 is technically feasible in the coming months.
- The rally could extend further if supported by fundamentals like Ethereum ETF news, L2 adoption, or staking growth.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
| Level | Significance |
|---|---|
| $2,968.06 | Current Market Price |
| $2,700 | Previous Resistance (Now Support) |
| $2,539.43 | Mid Bollinger Band (Daily Support) |
| $2,188.68 | Lower BB Support (Daily) |
| $3,038.70 | Recent High |
| $4,056.04 | Monthly Resistance Target |
🧠 Market Sentiment & Volume Insight
- Ethereum’s breakout is supported by healthy trading volumes, although not yet at euphoric levels — a sign of controlled accumulation.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is likely nearing overbought on the daily but still has room on the monthly chart.
- Ethereum’s outperformance of Bitcoin in the last few sessions signals growing interest in smart contract and DeFi-related plays.
🔮 Fundamental Catalysts to Watch:
- Ethereum Spot ETF Approvals (Pending in U.S.): Could boost institutional exposure.
- Ethereum 2.0 Staking Growth: Increasing staked ETH reduces circulating supply.
- Layer 2 Ecosystem Expansion: Optimism, Arbitrum, and Base driving lower gas and wider usage.
- On-chain Activity: DApp usage, NFT minting, and DeFi volumes are climbing post June low.
🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook:
| Type | Strategy |
|---|---|
| Swing Trader | Buy on pullbacks toward $2,800–$2,850 with target $3,200 and SL below $2,700 |
| Long-Term Investor | Accumulate on dips; breakout confirms bottoming structure |
| Cautious Trader | Wait for consolidation above $3,000 before fresh long entries |
🗣️ Expert View:
“Ethereum’s monthly structure has flipped bullish for the first time in nearly a year,” says crypto strategist Neha Patel. “The reclaim of $2,900 is psychologically and technically important. As long as Bitcoin maintains strength, ETH can aim for $4,000 by Q3.”
🔐 Disclaimer:
Cryptocurrency trading is subject to market risk. This article is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors must do their own research or consult professionals before investing.
✅ Conclusion :
Ethereum’s technical breakout above $2,900 marks a turning point after months of consolidation and correction. With the daily chart confirming immediate upside and the monthly chart showing longer-term bullish reversal, ETH is well-positioned for a rally towards $3,200–$4,000 levels, supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
If this momentum continues, Ethereum could outperform the broader crypto market in the coming quarter.
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