Nifty 50 Technical Analysis – 8 July 2025

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July 8, 2025

1. Overview

As of the current trading session, Nifty 50 is trading around 25,460, displaying a mild correction from its recent highs. The index has seen a strong uptrend from the lows of late June, followed by a consolidation phase that is now showing signs of a potential breakout. Both the daily and hourly charts present crucial technical signals that could determine the near-term and medium-term direction of the Indian benchmark index.

2. Daily Chart Analysis

Trend Overview

  • The daily chart shows that Nifty 50 is in a broader uptrend, supported by a rising trendline and consistent higher highs and higher lows.
  • The price recently broke out above a horizontal resistance zone (around 25,200), and now this zone is acting as a support level.
  • The Bollinger Bands are contracting, suggesting low volatility and a potential upcoming breakout move.

Chart Pattern

  • A bullish flag/pennant formation is visible. After a sharp rally in late June, the index has entered a consolidation channel bounded by a slight downward sloping resistance line and an upward sloping support trendline.
  • This is a classic continuation pattern, and a breakout above the flag resistance can trigger a fresh upside leg.

Support & Resistance Zones

LevelDescription
25,200Horizontal breakout support (previous resistance)
25,460 – 25,500Current resistance zone, also near the Bollinger Band mid-level
25,794Upper Bollinger Band and short-term swing high
26,278Next potential resistance, previous price projection zone
24,607Lower Bollinger Band – strong downside cushion
23,224Major support (March-April consolidation base)

Volume Analysis (Daily)

  • The volume is moderate, with no extreme spikes recently, indicating a healthy consolidation phase.
  • A breakout backed by above-average volume will confirm the continuation of the uptrend.

3. Hourly Chart Analysis

Short-Term Trend

  • The hourly chart confirms a symmetrical triangle pattern, with both resistance and support trendlines converging.
  • The breakout appears to be just at the apex, indicating a decisive move is imminent — likely within the next 1-2 sessions.

Bollinger Bands Insights

  • Bollinger Bands on the 1H chart are tightening, reflecting a volatility contraction phase, which generally precedes a sharp directional move.
  • The price is currently attempting to sustain above the mid-band, showing slight bullish momentum.

Price Action Observation

  • Short-term consolidation has held well above 25,360–25,400, showing strong buying interest on dips.
  • A clear break and hold above 25,500–25,520 will likely result in momentum buying.

Volume Analysis (Hourly)

  • Hourly volume is stable, but we haven’t seen aggressive accumulation yet. Watch for volume surge during breakout attempts.

4. Indicators & Moving Averages

  • SMA 20 (BB Basis Line): Acts as immediate support on both daily and hourly charts (near 25,200 on daily and 25,433 on hourly).
  • RSI (Not shown but inferred): Likely neutral to mildly bullish based on price consolidation and higher lows.
  • MACD: On shorter time frames, MACD may be on the verge of a crossover depending on today’s session movement.

5. Possible Scenarios

✅ Bullish Case

  • Breakout above 25,500–25,520 on strong volume.
  • Immediate target: 25,794, followed by 26,278 (as marked on chart).
  • Stop-loss for long positions can be placed below 25,200, which is the base of the current pennant/flag formation.

⚠️ Neutral/Range-bound Case

  • Index continues to consolidate between 25,200 – 25,500.
  • Wait for breakout confirmation before initiating trades.

❌ Bearish Case

  • Break below 25,200 may trigger a short-term correction.
  • Possible downside targets: 24,607 and then 24,200 (lower Bollinger Band and trendline support).
  • Bearish invalidation level: Close above 25,520.

6. Strategic Takeaways

For Traders:

  • Buy on breakout: Entry above 25,520, with targets 25,800 / 26,280.
  • Sell on breakdown: Below 25,200, target 24,600 / 24,200.
  • Use trailing stop-loss post-breakout for momentum trading.

For Investors:

  • Trend remains bullish in higher timeframes.
  • Hold positions unless the index closes below 24,600 (which may hint at trend reversal).

7. Macro & External Factors to Monitor

  • Global cues from Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and Crude oil prices.
  • Any RBI policy commentary or macro data releases.
  • FII/DII activity – strong FII buying may trigger further rally.

8. Conclusion

The Nifty 50 index is in a bullish consolidation phase, forming a flag/pennant on the daily chart and a symmetrical triangle on the hourly chart. These are typically continuation patterns, suggesting that the next move could be a resumption of the prior uptrend — especially if the breakout occurs with strong volume.

Key confirmation level: 25,520
Crucial support: 25,200
Upside potential: 25,794 → 26,278

Watch closely for a breakout in the coming sessions. Patience and precision will reward disciplined traders in this setup.

13 thoughts on “Nifty 50 Technical Analysis – 8 July 2025”

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